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Our premier tactical asset allocation model
The Diversified Macro Model (DMM) monitors ongoing changes in economic and financial conditions and automatically shifts its allocations to take advantage of changes in the economy. The model invests across multiple asset classes and will generally favor stocks during economic expansions and bonds during periods of economic uncertainty.
The historical backtested performance of the Diversified Macro Model can be seen in the chart below. For comparison, the performance of SPY (an ETF that tracks the performance of the S&P 500 Index), AGG (an ETF that tracks the Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index), and a 60/40 blend of those two funds are included in the chart.
Model performance represents total returns and includes reinvestment of dividends and interest. No management fees or transaction costs are included. Historical performance is not an indication or guarantee of future performance.
The DMM has been able to outperform portfolios comprised of both stocks and bonds because it does not maintain fixed allocations to either asset class. Rather, the model shifts dynamically between asset classes and favors those which stand to benefit from current trends in the economy.
More information about the DMM's historical backtested performance is available in the two charts below. The first chart shows excess return (alpha), which represents the model's ability to deliver returns above its benchmark (the S&P 500 index). The second chart shows annual returns.
These two charts demonstrate the value-add over an indexed portfolio, as well as the model's ability to minimize drawdowns during bad market environments. Additional performance data can be found in the table below.
If you have any questions about the DMM's performance or would like to discuss using the Diversified Macro Model in your portfolio, please reach out to us using one of the options below.
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Hypothetical, backtested or simulated performance results have inherent limitations. Simulated results are achieved by the retroactive application of a backtested model, itself designed with the benefit of hindsight. The backtesting of performance differs from the actual account performance because the investment strategy may be adjusted at any time, for any reason and can continue to be changed until desired or better performance results are achieved. Alternative modeling techniques or assumptions might produce significantly different results and prove to be more appropriate. Past hypothetical backtest results are neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future returns. Actual results will vary from the analysis. Past performance should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of future performance, and no representation or warranty, expressed or implied is made regarding future performance.
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Sigma Point Capital, LLC (“SPC”) is a Registered Investment Advisor. All information provided herein is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice, an offer to buy or sell any security or insurance product; or an endorsement of any third party or such third party’s views.
Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product will be profitable, equal any corresponding indicated historical performance level(s), be suitable for your portfolio or individual situation, or prove successful.
All examples are hypothetical and designed solely to convey information about our investment philosophy and strategies. Investing involves a great deal of risk including the loss of some or all of your investment. Past performance is not an indication or guarantee of future performance and Sigma Point Capital does not warrant or guarantee any minimum level of investment performance. No representation is being made that any SPC client account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown in the hypothetical back tested performance.
Hypothetical performance shown on the Sigma Point Capital website (the “Site”) is backtested and does not represent the performance of any account managed by Sigma Point Capital. The hypothetical performance depicted was achieved by means of the retroactive application of investment strategies that were designed with the benefit of hindsight.
Backtested performance is NOT an indicator of future actual results. Hypothetical results have inherent limitations, particularly that the performance results do not reflect the results of actual trading using client assets. Additional limitations of backtested performance include, but are not limited to, the effects of material economic and market factors on the decision-making process, and the ability for the security selection methodology to be adjusted until past returns are maximized.
The performance of any account managed by Sigma Point Capital will differ from the backtested performance shown on the Site for a variety of reasons, including without limitation the following:
Performance results have been compiled solely by Sigma Point Capital, LLC and have not been independently verified.
Sigma Point Capital relies on third-party data sources for portions of its data. The information derived from these sources is believed to be accurate, but no warranties or representations are made with respect to its accuracy or completeness.
Neither Sigma Point Capital nor any third-party data provider are responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information.
In order to help existing and prospective clients understand the performance characteristics of the SPC Tactical Investment Models, backtested performance on the Site is shown in relation to three benchmarks: The S&P 500 Index, The U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, and a 60/40 blend of those two indexes (benchmarks are shown using Exchange-Traded Funds which track each index).
Sigma Point Capital Tactical Models use a combination of equity and fixed-income ETFs to achieve their results; therefore, these benchmarks provide a reasonable example of the performance that one would achieve from a buy-and-hold approach using a similar set of securities.
SPY represents the SPDR S&P 500 ETF. It is an exchange-traded fund designed to track the performance of the S&P 500 Index. It does not represent the index itself.
AGG represents the iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF. It is an exchange-traded fund designed to track the performance of the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index. It does not represent the index itself. The inception date for AGG is 9-22-2003. As a result, in our analysis and backtested performance, we use price data for VBMFX (the Vanguard Total Bond Market Index) as a proxy for AGG price data for all dates prior to 10-01-2003, at which point we switch to using actual AGG price data.
"60/40 Stocks/Bonds" refers to a hypothetical portfolio that would have kept 60% of its assets invested in SPY - the SPDR S&P 500 ETF and 40% of its assets invested in AGG - the iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF.
SIGMA POINT CAPITAL, LLC MAKES NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION ON THE SITE.
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